Decimal Insights and Perspectives

Cricket Modelling Products How reliable is win probability in cricket? Win probability estimates each side's chance of winning at a given point in a match. It is a data-driven indication, using live match data, context and relevant historical patterns. Its reliability depends upon the inputs it is built from, and the power of the processes that turn those inputs into predictions. 6 min read Cricket Modelling How do models treat death overs in a T20 match? Run rates and wicket probabilities change significantly in the final overs of T20s, which are also known as the death overs. Models and traders have to factor in a number of nuances to keep markets live during what is often the most exciting period of a game for fans and bettors. 4 min read Cricket Products How does fan or bettor sentiment move cricket betting markets? Odds reflect the weight of money as well as underlying statistical probability based on the current game state. Because a bookmaker's job is literally that - to make a book - betting flows towards towards one side of a market or line, player or team move a price away from the probalistic modelled odds. 5 min read Cricket Modelling Why do reliable predictions for women's cricket require specific models? Scoring and playing patterns in women's cricket differ from the men's game. Treating them the same and applying a single model means missing nuances that can distort probabilities and make trading harder, creating poorer experiences for bettors and fans. 5 min read Cricket Modelling How important is winning the toss in cricket to a team's chance of winning the game, and to other betting lines? The value of winning the toss varies by venue and conditions on that day, including pitch, weather and outfield pace. Factors such as dew and day-night scheduling can also change how much the decision is worth. Psychologically it can also seem to make a big difference for some teams and players. 5 min read Cricket Modelling How does a strong batting lineup change how top-order batters play? Batting depth, and the perceived quality still to come can affect how different top-order batters approach risk. This can impact scoring rates as well as wicket rates, and its impact varies significantly for different players. 5 min read Cricket Modelling Do different cricket grounds have a different different 'par score' in different games? A par score is cricket slang for how many runs a team is expected score on that day, against that opponent, at that specific venue, in those specific conditions. is venue-specific. As with other cricket predictions, context is vital. 5 min read Cricket Does humidity really swing the ball? Humidity is often cited as a cause of swing. However if you ask a different fan, or a different expert, you will likely get a different answer as to whether it really has an impact. There is even scientific evidence to fuel the debate. 5 min read Cricket How much does the choice of ball change the scoring patterns in a match? Cricket balls used in the professional game can be machine-made, or handmade by expert craftsmen and women, using leather of different thickness. No two such balls are identical. They may play differently, swing differently and deteriorate at different rates over the course of an innings. They also respond differently in different conditions. New balls can be taken in a game, or they may not be. 5 min read Cricket Modelling FAQs Is cricket the ideal sport for AI? Cricket's discrete, ball-by-ball structure and extremely complex context makes it particularly well suited to modelling. The depth and quality of the underlying data decides the advantage. 6 min read Products FAQs What is trading-grade fast data? Trading-grade fast data is low-latency, ball-by-ball match data, accurate, complete and fast enough to price and trade live betting markets. It must contain specific information used by trading floors to keep markets alive. 5 min read Cricket Products FAQs How does Decimal Data keep key cricket betting markets live through death overs? Betting markets often suspend when the game moves fastest, including if scores are tight as an innings reaches its conclusion. Historically this is to protect the sportsbook from risk. However it is commonly cited as one of the most annoying parts of following cricket if you are a fan or bettor. 5 min read Products FAQs Case studies How Decimal Data helped BetFred deliver a 'market-leading' cricket betting experience. Popular UK sportsbook BetFred switched to Decimal Data for specialist cricket betting data and live odds and immediately saw across-the-board growth in ROI, market breadth, uptime and the customer experience. 6 min read Cricket Modelling FAQs Why does Decimal Data have dedicated models and trading teams for cricket's different formats, and for women's cricket betting? Precision live odds and probabilities rely on detailed, accurate, fast data, and on models and simulations to quickly turn those inputs into odds. The models and simulations are trained on patterns in the data and are built to provide the 'what-if' answer for different questions as the live data changes. For example, 'what is the impact on total expected runs if player X hits a boundary this ball?' 5 min read News Decimal Data appoints Andrew Ashenden as CEO to lead next era of growth Decimal Data has appointed Andrew Ashenden as Chief Executive Officer, tasked with leading the business through its next phase of growth across cricket data, odds and video. 3 min read